Hey Traders,
February is almost over — can you believe it?
And if you’re not getting the results you want in 2025 so far, I’ve got three simple ways to improve your odds of success.
1. Use a Market-Driven Approach
Before you place any trade, you need to check the broad market trend.
That means pulling up a six-month chart of the major indexes:
📈 DIA (tracks the Dow)
📈 QQQ (tracks tech stocks)
📈 SPY (tracks the S&P 500)
And put a 20-day, 50-day and 200-day simple or exponential moving average on the chart.
If the indexes are trending up — above all three trend lines — you want to place bullish trades on stocks that are trending up.
If they’re trending down — below all three trend lines — you want to place bearish trades on stocks that are trending down.
And if the indexes are caught between trend lines, you can take both long and short trades.
That alone can increase your success rate by over 80% — just by trading with the market instead of against it.
And don’t be afraid of a down market. If we get a selloff, there’s going to be plenty of money to make on the short side.
2. Trade Stocks in Strong Trends
If you want higher-probability trades, then trade stocks that are already in a clear trend.
Look at the six-month chart of any stock you’re considering.
🔼 If it’s in a solid uptrend, it has a higher probability of continuing to move higher.
🔽 If it’s in a strong downtrend, it has a higher probability of going lower.
That’s just a fact.
Don’t make the mistake of trying to pick reversals or buy stocks going sideways — that’s asking for trouble. Stick to stocks in clear trends.
3. Be an Options Seller
This one is the biggest advantage the market offers.
Options are a zero-sum game — meaning that for every winner, there’s a loser.
And here’s a stat that should blow your mind:
Between 80% and 90% of all option buyers lose 100% of their money.
Now, if there’s a loser, that means there’s also a winner on the other side of that trade.
So guess who’s winning? The option seller.
As a seller, the money gets directly deposited into your account as soon as you enter the trade.
And because option buyers lose so often, selling options gives you an automatic 80-90% built-in advantage on every trade.
That’s the single biggest edge the market has to offer.
Wrapping It All up Thoughts
If you want higher-probability trades, just remember:
✅ Trade with the market trend — bullish in up markets, bearish in down markets.
✅ Stick with stocks already trending — don’t fight momentum.
✅ Be an option seller — where the odds are stacked in your favor from the start.
These three things alone can completely change your results in 2025.
Trade well,
Jack Carter
P.S. Anyone who bet big on NVDA earnings — in either direction — is probably licking their wounds today. But not me, because I’m constantly trading NVDA with this high-probability strategy.
