Hey traders,
2025 is almost here, and if history is any guide, we’re looking at a year with some strong potential for traders.
Why? Because in inauguration years — the first full year after a presidential election.
And historically, inauguration years tend to skew bullish. Just look at this data my team put together:
That’s 8 out of the last 9 inauguration years showing a positive return for markets — the vast majority of those years being double digit returns!
Those numbers — gathered from data over the past 35 years — shows a greater than 88% chance that next year will be a positive one for markets
Now, I’m not saying this guarantees the market will rise. Nothing in trading is ever a sure thing.
But if you’re trading with me, you know how much I like stacking the odds. And the odds on this historical pattern are definitely worth paying attention to.
Stacking the Odds in Your Favor
I always say that trading isn’t about being right all the time.
It’s about playing the odds and making moves that give you the best chance of success.
And when you combine a bullish inauguration year with a stock that’s already in a strong trend? You’re stacking multiple layers of probability in your favor.
Take Howmet Aerospace (HWM) for example.
My indicators show this stock has been in a consistent upward trend, and it’s showing all the signs of continuing that momentum into 2025.
If you take nothing else from reading this, just remember this:
Just by…
- focusing on strongly trending stocks like HWM that have proven strength…
- trading them in a higher-probability way with safer, more consistent income trades…
- and aligning your trades with broader historical trends…
you’re giving yourself a huge edge in whatever the market throws at you.
A Practical Takeaway: Preparing for 2025
So, how can you prepare for what’s shaping up to be a pivotal year?
Here are three steps:
- Focus on trends: Identify stocks like HWM that are already moving in the right direction. A strong trend can act like a tailwind, helping your trades succeed even in uncertain conditions.
- Remember the big picture: Don’t get bogged down by day-to-day noise. Keep an eye on the longer-term opportunities, like the historical bullishness of inauguration years.
- Play it smart: Use higher-probability strategies that align with your goals and risk tolerance. For example, credit spreads or covered calls can help you generate income while greatly increasing your odds of success.
And if you liked HWM as a stock to watch, I’ve got two more hot stocks ready for you.
These are stocks that have been in a strong, long term trend and I believe have the potential to shine in the coming weeks and months.
Click here to see the full list and learn how you can incorporate them into your trading plan.
The Bottom Line
Inauguration years like 2025 offer a unique opportunity to play the odds in your favor. Combine that with smart stock selection and proven strategies, and you’ve got a recipe for success.
So, as you gear up for the new year, ask yourself: Are you ready to make the most of it?
Trade well,
Jack Carter
P.S. Me and a small group of home-based traders are going to be trading the HECK out of this inauguration year rally. Wanna see what we’re all about? Check this out…
