Hey traders,
I’ve been in this game a long time.
And if there’s one thing I’ve seen over and over again, it’s this:
Traders talk themselves out of winning trades.
“Too Much, Too Fast” — Or Just a Bull Market?
Let’s be real here…
Markets have been on a tear.
Since the beginning of April — right after Trump kicked off his first major round of tariffs (what he called Liberation Day) — the major indexes have gone pretty much straight up.
We’re talking:
- +22% on the Dow (DIA)… and that’s the slowpoke of the bunch
- +33% on the S&P 500 (SPY)
- And a monster +43% on the tech-heavy QQQ
Now, some traders have been calling it “too much, too fast”… all the way since back in May.
And then June.
And yep — still saying it in July.
Then Friday hit… we finally got a pullback.
And suddenly, everyone who was sitting on the sidelines for the past four months starts patting themselves on the back like they saw it coming.
But here’s the thing…
You Can’t Measure “Feelings”
A pullback doesn’t mean they were right.
It just means even a raging bull market takes a breather now and then.
But traders love to cling to their gut feelings.
They say things like “I just feel it in my bones,” or “it’s due for a correction.”
C’mon.
You can’t measure what’s in your bones. (Color me shocked if you’ve ever been able to pull up a “feeling in your bones” indicator on a chart!)
And if that’s your strategy?
You might as well be reading tea leaves… or checking your horoscope for trading advice.
What I Do Instead
Me? I don’t rely on magic. Or intuition. Or some guy behind a curtain.
If you ask me where the market’s headed, I’ll point to something you can actually see on a chart:
The trend.
I check my Trend Points — 20-day, 50-day, 200-day EMAs.
If they’re sloping up and price is holding above ’em? That’s my green light.
No guessing. No gut checks. Just math and momentum.
You Win Nothing by Sitting Out
Now I’m not saying I’m always right.
No trader wins every time.
But this isn’t about perfection. It’s about playing the odds.
And let me tell you — the odds have been heavily in favor of trend traders lately.
Look at the indexes again. 22%… 33%… 43% — in four months.
And that’s nothing compared to some individual stocks:
- +61% on MSFT
- +120% on AVGO
How many folks missed out on those because they were waiting for a dip?
Waiting doesn’t make you safe.
It makes you late.
Take Action — or Get Left Behind
Look — I’m not saying to go out and buy the top.
What I’m saying is this:
When the market’s trending up, and the setups are right, and your strategy has cushion built in…
You take action.
That’s how I trade. That’s how I live.
Because in trading — just like in life — nothing happens when you wait.
Trade well,
Jack Carter
P.S. One of the most volatile stocks in the market could also be one of the safest ways to target weekly income! Here’s what I mean.
